Several senior members of the federal deputy club of the NDP warned NDP leader Jagmeet Singh in June that he would not be able to stand as a party leader if he loses the next month's election in Burnaby South, learns CBC News.
Two new MPs from the Democrat, who spoke with CBC Nevs on condition of anonymity, were among a small group of members of the parliamentary clubs that met with Singh last summer and told him that the loss due to the February 25 election would put enormous pressure on him to resign. They are among the group of nine MDP MPs who say CBC Nevs believe that Singh will have no choice but to resign if he does not get his post next month.
"We told him to come in, even in June, when thinking about it … if you did, this is all-in. It's not that you hope to win this thing. You have to. Your leadership drives on," he said. one member for CBC Nevs.
"It's understood. There may be some revisionist history if it does not happen (win)."
The former chief strategist of the NDP agrees.
"That's obvious. If you lose the choice, if you can not win the People's Republic of Burnaby, where can you win?" said Karl Belang, former national director of the NDP and former chief secretary of former leader Tom Mulcayr.
"I think Mr. Singh knows that, and I think he is trying to show everyone that he will win this place and then lead the party in the next election."
The June meeting was held in a lonely room in the basement of the Hill Hill Center, when the Lower House was suspended for a summer break.
Sources told CBC News that the NDP leader at the meeting agreed that running in biels would be "all-in" gambling. Singh, according to sources, said he was certain of winning, that he believed he would be in his element in the campaign in the community.
"So if it fails in its best edition, we have to deal well with the part of the country – British Columbia in general, and especially Vancouver – I do not know what their argument is that Sing should remain as a leader," said the senior MP of the NDP .
Speaking of CBC Nevs Frida, Singh circumvented questions about what he could do if he lost his selection bid, insisting he was in a good position to win.
"I'm not focused on myself and I know that if we work hard, we will win here," he said. "We will win to Burnaby south because people need us."
If Sing is offered privately so that he can not stay unless he provides a common headquarters next month, it would be contrary to his public attitude on the issue. In an interview with Rosemary Barton broadcast on CBC National On January 20, Singh insisted that he remain at the helm even if he lost his votes on February 25th.
"I will be the leader who leads the New Democratic Party in the 2019 elections," said Singh. "I am convinced that we will pass well in this ride. We connect with people, we get great support."
In total, CBC and Radio-Canada contacted more than half of the 40 members of the NDP's coconut. Not all members of the parliamentary groups that contacted CBC Nevs responded, but most of those who spoke to CBC say they feel confident Singh will win.
What happens if it loses?
Five refused to comment on what they called the "hypothetical" scenario. Two club members expressed full support to Singh. Some said they believed in the decision to stay or go to him.
Members of the club are not the only ones who say that Singh has to go if there is no Burnaby South. Some veterans of new democrats disagree – although at least one suggests that Sing's departure could be the result of a messy process.
"First of all, a group of party elders would advise him that the time had come, if he resisted, then the club's vote would be non-obligatory, but humiliating," the party strategist said, demanding that he not be named. Then the vote of the Federal Council of the NDP.
"The choice of time to leave gives him a blessed exit. Being pushed means that this will end in a hurry." Given the mutilated liberal campaign, I doubt it will come to that. "
Liberals recently tapped Richard T. Lee, former b. The lawmaker, who will run after their first candidate, Karen Wang, resigned over a controversial campaign calling on the Chinese to vote for her as the "only" Chinese candidate.
However, CBC Nevs learned that the NDP is working on various contingency plans that could come into force if Singh fails in Burnaby South.
Plans B, C and beyond
If, for example, Sing loses and immediately withdraws from the side as a leader, one of the options would be to immediately organize a leadership competition – similar to the one that quickly assembled in Ontario after Patrick Brovn was forced to withdraw as the leader of the progressive a conservative on charges of sexual assault.
But the federal NDP is now in quite a different place than it was with Ontario computers last year, when they organized a vote that ended by choosing Doug Ford as a replacement for Brovna.
Provincial PCs were at that time leading in surveys; according to a CBC poll survey, NDP support is only 14.2% at the national level. Conservatives in Ontario gathered a tremendous struggle until the time Brovn left and could easily pay the convention. In the meantime, the federal NDP continues to fight fundraising.
Another option might see that the club chooses a temporary leader. Two names are proposed in the NDP circles as possible leaders: B.C. MP Nathan Cullen and Quebec MP Gui Caron.
Any interim leader elected by a parliamentary club would have to be approved by the federal council before it would lead the party to the general election, which would follow the leadership race – the only way in which a permanent leader can be chosen according to party rules.
Some members of the parliamentary club have outlined what they see as a graceful exodus for Singh: offering him the position of deputy leader and lieutenant in Ontario and letting him run in Brampton East, an area that once was provincial. Singh could re-run for party leadership, politically strengthened by securing a seat in the Commonwealth.
Belanger said that if Singh loses in Burnaby South and then tries to hold him as a party leader, the only way to remove him is to review the leadership.
However, leadership revision takes place at party conventions – and the NDP does not have a convention scheduled until the fall of the federal election. In order to initiate a review of the management, a special convention should be called. It could only be called by the federal council of the NDP or at the request of most federal horse federation associations.
One of the strives of the NDP – who also asked not to be named – is skeptical about the special option of the convention: "Part of me has no faith in these men to bring a knife to the fight.
"These people have the challenge to face the fact that this leader won a huge voice from membership in the first vote (in the leadership race), and then that vote strengthened in February 2018 with enormous support from all members in the very presence of the convention here in Ottawa, when it got 92.8 percent (support).
Preparing for the worst
Former NDP candidate and leadership in 2012, Peggi Nash said that those working on contingency plans will come into force if Singh loses to Burnaby South, they simply make it obvious.
"I like to play chess and I always think there are several moves forward and I always have backup plans. I think it's just a good management that wants to have contingency plans for everything that happens," Nash said.
BC. NDP MP Don Davies said he is sure that Sing will sit next month and that his presence in the Lower House will strengthen his leadership. "I am asking it to have many benefits, including our fundraising, and our general vote numbers," he said. "I think everything will be better when Jagmeet is in the house.
"Much attention was paid to what is happening if he does not win. I think that the only real result when he wins is that he should put the rest of this chat in the end."